The political future of Europe. Macron–Scholz–Biden

José Antonio Friedl Zapata

The war in Ukraine, in the warmongering strategy of the current Biden Administration, has as its primary objective not only the protection of the Ukrainian state, but above all the attrition and destruction of Russia as we know it today. But no less important is the parallel strategy of trying to incinerate any future European project in order to finally form a united bloc with its own independent and sovereign policy outside the US orbit.

This already long bloody war, dangerous not only for Europe but for the whole world because it has the component of an unforeseen outcome of a terrible nuclear war, is the main reason why we see the new political leaders of the old continent discreetly betting on dialogue, facing to the warmongering strategy of the Biden Administration, which until now has not seriously formulated a dialogist alternative. No one disputes the inhuman, bloody and unjust Russian aggression and the criminal barbarities of its soldiers, but diplomatic resources have not yet been exhausted to put an end to this dramatic situation, which directly affects the immediate future of Europe and its security and well-being. The United States is very far away, with enormous internal problems, with a weakened democracy, with an economy in a tailspin, with an inflation never seen in the last 40 years and with a president and a vice president with a flow of disapproval for their management of more than 54%, counting on the sure support of only 20% of the population. Let’s also add the dangerous fact that the president has serious cognitive problems and he and his family are involved in corruption cases, never clarified. To all this is added the unusual situation that the country has an independent press that is often cornered, even more so after the creation a few days ago, by the Biden government, of a true “Ministry of Truth”, in the best style. of the visionary writer George Orwell in his book 1984, and that will be called “Disinformation Governance Board”. In charge will be Nina Jankowicz, a notorious militant of the extreme left of the Democratic Party who will decide in the future what information can be published and what cannot. A real scandal.

In this world situation, Europe has and must act to become independent from the dictates of the Biden Administration and so that Europe is not the backyard of the imperial centers that dominate the world.

Although the international press does not highlight it as it deserves, in this atrocious war in Ukraine, the industries and conglomerates for the manufacture of weapons obviously have an influence on Washington’s political decisions. Specifically, wars are big business, as is clearly seen by the prestigious American statesman Ron Paul, a libertarian, visionary and honest politician, who was an independent candidate for the White House three times. In his opinion, the big winners of this war in Ukraine are the billionaire groups that are behind the war industrial complexes, and that have taken advantage of the 3 billion dollars of military aid for the Ukraine war in the front line. In this regard, Ron Paul quotes the CEO of the Raytheon weapons complex, Greg Hayes,

The great human costs of the Ukraine war for the many and the great gains for the few! In addition, as the US armed forces themselves and members of the Nato assert, they have no greater control over where many of the weapons shipped end up, which may fall into the hands of criminal and terrorist groups that circulate in Europe.

In view of this warmongering attitude of the Biden Administration, a Franco-German strategy, clearly European, would have a tremendous and perhaps last chance to mediate and prevail. It is the future of Europe that is at stake and the role of the newly elected French President Emmanuel Macron, leader of the “La Republique en Marche” movement, will be decisive. The challenges he faces are enormous and will undoubtedly have consequences for world politics. The legislative elections that will take place on June 12 and 19 would give even more support to his future foreign policy for an independent and strong Europe.

With all this power, Macron would have the opportunity to lead a new Europe with the support, not always clear, of Chancellor Scholz’s new Germany. Let us not forget that France is the only European country, within the Community, with nuclear weapons and that it has the power of veto in the UN Security Council. Germany, meanwhile, is the largest economy on the old continent. The development of this Franco-German axis would imply the need to create a new concept of military sovereignty and the development in the immediate future of latest-generation European weapons, to which Germany would join, which now, as the surprise decision of the new chancellor Scholz, will invest at least 100,000 million euros in the modernization of the Bundeswehr. Obviously all this would greatly weaken NATO,

Macron’s task is not easy if he wants to exercise European leadership, coordinate the bloc of 27 countries that make up the European Union, and therefore speculates on the creation of a new and reduced European Union. In addition, Macron will have to deal with his German partner, Scholz, who is not a charismatic leader, but rather a political tightrope walker, both in domestic and foreign policy. His surprise decision of a massive rearmament of the Bundeswehr was at first good news for Macron, but it was soon erased at a stroke with the Chancellor’s decision to immediately buy 35 American F-35 fighter planes with state-of-the-art technology and capable of to bring nuclear missiles to the North American war industry Lockheed-Martin for a value of 4,000 million Euros. Just the helmet for the pilot, with state-of-the-art technology, it costs about $400.00. French anger at this decision was not long in coming. Paul Maurice, a researcher at the French Institute of International Relations in Paris, stated: “The F-35 is perceived here as a symbol of US power within NATO. After all the talk about autonomy and European sovereignties I would have expected Germany to focus more on a truly European arms policy.” In Berlin, the response of the political tightrope walker Scholz was to quickly declare that for him the construction of latest-generation tanks and aircraft with European partners is an absolute priority. stated: “The F-35 is perceived here as a symbol of US power within NATO. After all the talk about autonomy and European sovereignties I would have expected Germany to focus more on a truly European arms policy.” In Berlin, the response of the political tightrope walker Scholz was to quickly declare that for him the construction of latest-generation tanks and aircraft with European partners is an absolute priority. stated: “The F-35 is perceived here as a symbol of US power within NATO. After all the talk about autonomy and European sovereignties I would have expected Germany to focus more on a truly European arms policy.” In Berlin, the response of the political tightrope walker Scholz was to quickly declare that for him the construction of latest-generation tanks and aircraft with European partners is an absolute priority.

As we see the birth of a new strong, independent Europe is very complex, even in these exceptional times. But something very important has changed in the perception in the old continent and that is that something must be done urgently so that Europe does not become the backyard of any hegemonic world power, as has been the fate of our Latin America, and we hope that this does not happen again. Let us be attentive to developments in Europe, because there are our roots, our traditions, our languages ​​and perhaps also our democratic future.

And let us also hope that the once great democracy of the North will once again be the shining beacon of Western democracy, as it has been for centuries.

José Antonio Friedl Zapata
Political Scientist – Latin Americanist – Independent Journalist
Author of several books on Latin American themes

“The opinions published here are the sole responsibility of their author.”